Why I’m still avoiding this FTSE 250 company despite its market-share gains

Tempted to buy this falling share price? I’m cautious. Maybe shrinking profits could be an early signal of tough trading ahead.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Today’s half-year results report from international electrical and electronics components distributor Electrocomponents (LSE: ECM) has whacked the shares down almost 12%, as I write.

I ventured into the dank and cobwebby basement this morning at Motley Fool towers to rummage around the archives. After blowing off the dust, I discovered my previous article on the company was published at the beginning of February. Back then, I was cautious on the stock believing the valuation had raced ahead of itself and the business was vulnerable to cyclical shocks to the downside.

Profits down

It has to be said the shares have zig-zagged up a bit since February and now stand at around 624p, and that’s after today’s setback. The price compares to around 567p when the previous article came out last winter.

So, what are investors worried about in the firm’s news release today? Revenue rose by 7.3% in the six months to 30 September compared to the equivalent period the year before.

We can strip out the effects of currency movements and additional trading days that the company engaged in by looking at the like-for-like figure, which lifted by 4.5%. The directors said in the report its industrial sales “more than offset” a weaker performance from electronics. 

So far, so steady. But things didn’t go well for the firm with profits. And I’m going to look at the ‘best case’ figures, which I reckon are the adjusted ones. Indeed, the unadjusted figures show bigger declines. Operating profit came in an adjusted 1.5% higher, but the like-for-like figure dropped 2.1%. The operating profit margin slipped back by 0.6% and 0.8% when considering like-for-likes.

Meanwhile, adjusted free cash flow plunged just over 59% and net debt shot up almost 59% to nearly £221m. The balance sheet reveals to us that the increase in net debt is primarily due to more borrowings rather than falling cash levels.

Asset write-downs

Part of the outcome with profits occurred because Electrocomponents was caught up in British Steel Limited’s compulsory liquidation on 22 May. British Steel owed the firm money for goods it had already received and, sadly, the situation has led to £10.4m of assets being written down. Such setbacks are one of the risks and harsh potential realities of being in most businesses, from the smallest sole-trader to the biggest international conglomerate.

But the company is also ploughing capital back into its operations in order to remain competitive. There’s a transition programme, for example, moving operations from catalogue-led sales to digital sales, which is sucking funds into new IT systems.

However, some of the margin attrition is down to “product mix,” which I reckon is something to keep an eye on. Shrinking profits could be an early signal of tough trading ahead in a market where price-slashing and lower-margin goods are needed to stimulate sales.

Yet the directors slapped more than 11% on the interim dividend, suggesting confidence in the outlook and their expectation of “continued growth and outperformance over the medium term.” But I remain cautious on the stock for now.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Kevin Godbold has no position in any share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Businessman use electronic pen writing rising colorful graph from 2023 to 2024 year of business planning and stock investment growth concept.
Investing Articles

2 dirt cheap growth stocks with heaps of potential!

These two growth stocks are currently trading some way below their highs, but they've also got bags of potential. Dr…

Read more »

Young Black man sat in front of laptop while wearing headphones
Investing Articles

3 of the best FTSE 100 stocks to consider in May

FTSE stocks are back in fashion as investors look for undervalued shares. Here are some our writer Royston Wild thinks…

Read more »

Mixed-race female couple enjoying themselves on a walk
Investing Articles

£7,000 in savings? Here’s what I’d do to turn that into a £1,160 monthly passive income

With some careful consideration, it's possible to make an excellent passive income for life with UK shares. This is how…

Read more »

Investing Articles

If I’d invested £1k in Amazon stock when it went public, here’s what I’d have today

Amazon stock has been one of the biggest winners over the last couple of decades. Muhammad Cheema takes a look…

Read more »

Investing Articles

If I’d put £5,000 in Nvidia stock 5 years ago, here’s what I’d have now

Nvidia stock has been a great success story in the past few years. This Fool breaks down how much he'd…

Read more »

Young black woman walking in Central London for shopping
Investing Articles

Could investing in a Shein IPO make my ISA shine?

With chatter that London might yet see a Shein IPO, our writer shares his view on some possible pros and…

Read more »

Silhouette of a bull standing on top of a landscape with the sun setting behind it
Investing Articles

The FTSE 100 reached record highs in April! Here’s what investors should consider buying in May

The FTSE 100 continues to impress in 2024 as last month it reached new highs. Here are two stocks investors…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Despite hitting a 52-week high, Coca-Cola HBC stock still looks great value

Our writer reckons one flying UK share that has been participating in the recent FTSE 100 bull run remains a…

Read more »